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5 Trends That Drive Automotive Innovation

電動車是第一個重點喔！

MUNICH — The automotive is currently facing the strongest changes in its history, says a study from management consulting firm McKinsey. Besides technological innovation, the changing role of the suppliers will greatly alter the industry.

The study identifies five technological trends that will keep automotive engineers busy over the decade ahead. These are:

• Electrification. By 2030, the market share of vehicles with some kind of electrical powertrain will rise to 65 percent — up from 2 percent in the present time. The rise will be driven by sales of hybrid electric vehicles.

• Connectivity. By 2025, fifty million vehicles will be connected. Currently, about 18 millions have access to the Internet.

• Autonomous driving and software complexity. Software will be the distinguishing feature of cars. And the complexity of the software will further increase. Whereas today the cars contain “only” some 100 millions lines of code, the market watchers expect the software content to grow to 300 millions lines of code.

• Internet-based production organisation, aka Industry 4.0 or Industrial Internet. The digitization of industrial production enables further cost reductions. The costs for quality control can be reduced by as much as 20% through data-based real-time production process monitoring and, as a consequence, fewer rejects.

• New materials. The content of lightweight construction materials such as high-tensile steel, aluminium and carbon-fibre reinforced polymers will increase from 21 to 67 percent.

Connected metropolis. (Source: Intel)

Another significant finding of the study is that the engineering value chain is undergoing major shifts. The suppliers will sharpen their profile as innovation drivers. “Suppliers increasingly will become the motor for the technological progress in the automotive industry,” explains Andreas Cornet, Director of McKinsey’s Munich office and responsible for consulting the supply industry. “In innovations like connected car and autonomous driving, progress is driven by suppliers in the first place.” About 50 percent of the innovations in the automotive industry within the past decade have been developed by suppliers, he added. In 2014 alone, the 100 largest suppliers invested more than 40 billion euros into R&D. Cornet added that high investments are necessary to continue this innovation pace. Nevertheless, the suppliers will not be spared if the market in China could experience a possible decline.

—Christoph Hammerschmidt covers automotive electronics and test & measurement for EE Times Europe.

Originally published on EE Times Europe.